Manifest

SEPT 22-24

BERKELEY, CA

MANIFOLD’S INAUGURAL

FORECASTING FESTIVAL

A gathering of forecasting nerds

Meet friends, learn from experts, play games & chill at our lovely campus. And predict the future, ofc.

Wondering what else to expect? Suggest a session and earn mana if we do it!

Special guests

More Info

Who

Special guests include Robin Hanson, Nate Silver, Tarek Mansour, Patrick McKenzie, Shayne Coplan, Zvi Mowshowitz, Destiny, Dylan Matthews, Aella, and more.

The average attendee is an economist, a stats student, a superforecaster, an existential risk researcher, a stock trader, etc. Maybe you, too — get your tickets now!

When

September 22-24, 2023. Friday afternoon through Sunday night; see the schedule for more info.

Where

The Lighthaven campus.

2740 Telegraph Ave, Berkeley (94705), California, Earth (C-137). Aliens welcome.

Why

You’ll enjoy Manifest if:

  • you think forecasting & prediction markets are impactful/fun/cool/rational/intriguing/etc

  • you want to vibe with other forecasting nerds

  • you want to meet & chat with the Manifold team and our special guests

  • you want enjoy the gorgeous Rose Garden Inn (pictures below)

For us — the team at Manifold — we just really love the forecasting community. It’s so filled with enthusiastic and earnest people who share an impactful and engaging interest. We wanted to host a physical place for that community to gather, so we’re bringing together cool people to practice and celebrate forecasting!

Other questions?

You can ask questions and start connecting on the Manifest Discord — or just shoot us an email (manifest@manifold.markets). If you want to chat with an organizer, book a call here.

Full contact page is here.

The lovely Lighthaven campus