Special Guests
Robin Hanson
Economist & professor
Tarek Mansour
CEO of Kalshi
Nate Silver
Statistician, Author, & Founder of 538
Shayne Coplan
CEO of Polymarket
Dylan Matthews
Head writer at Future Perfect, Vox
Destiny
Streamer & political critic
Katja Grace
Lead researcher at AI Impacts
Cate Hall
CEO of Alvea
Ozzie Gooen
President of QURI; Founder of Guesstimate
Robert Miles
AI Safety researcher & Youtuber
Rational Animations
Rationality Youtuber
Aella
Sex researcher & writer
Matthew Barnett
Staff researcher at EpochAI
Emmett Shear
Cofounder of Twitch
Daniel Reeves
Cofounder of Beeminder
Douglas Campbell
CEO of Insight Prediction
Gavriel Kleinwaks
Strategic projects lead at 1DaySooner
Patrick Mckenzie
Writer & advisor to Stripe
Eliezer Yudkowsky
AI Researcher & Writer
James Grugett
Cofounder of Manifold
Austin Chen
Cofounder of Manifold
Jonathan Anomaly
Professor
Scott Alexander
Blogger & psychiatrist
Kevin Roose
Technology columnist at the New York Times
David Chee
Product & marketing at Manifold; Streamer
Misha Yagudin
Cofounder of Arb Research & Samotsvety Forecasting
Stephen Grugett
Cofounder of Manifold
Saul Munn
Cofounder of OPTIC
Jeremiah Johnson
Cofounder of the Center for New Liberalism
Richard Hanania
Writer & President of CSPI
Simone & Malcolm Collins
Founders of The Collins Institute & Pronatalist.org
Byrne Hobart
Author of The Diff
…and more!
Pratik Chougule
Exec. Director of the Coalition for Political Forecasting
Zvi Mowshowitz
Writer & CEO of Balsa Research