MaNiFest
2025

June 6th to 8th, 2025

Lighthaven Campus, Berkeley, CA

Buy Tickets Now!

What is Manifest?

A festival for forecasting, markets, AI, and novel ideas hosted by Manifold and Manifund.

Venue

Everyone’s favorite part of Manifest is back: Lighthaven!
From cozy indoor nooks to outdoor fireplaces, Lighthaven brings all the warmth and magic of a high school sleepover—minus the curfew. This year, a newly converted building features a brand-new main room for talks!

Example events from last year

• AI Safety with Anthropic Cofounder Ben Mann
• Revolutionising loans using ML with Upstart Cofounder Paul Gu
• The future of trust with Twitch Cofounder Emmett Shear
• Fireside chats with Nate Silver, Chris Best (Substack), and Scott Alexander (ACX)
• Prediction market talks
• Startup pitch competition with VCs

Manifest 2023 & 2024

Manifest debuted in September 2023 with 250 attendees and returned in June 2024 with 600 attendees.

"manifest conference was so fun 10/10 recommend"
- Aella
“The vibes were immaculate. I was actively excited by easily 70% of the talks and side conversations. Fantastic.”
- Molly H
“I think this is the first festival (of very many total) I've attended that has made me feel genuinely sad afterwards that it has ended.”
- Richard K
“It's like I walked through the wardrobe into Narnia for years, and now that I've left it was somehow no time at all.”
- Joshua F

FAQ

Where should I stay?

Lighthaven can accommodate ~half of the attendees starting at around $100 per night. A link will be shared on this site and announced in Discord once booking opens. Alternatively, attendees organise affordable house shares in Discord, see #travel-planning.

Can I apply for housing or travel subsidy?

Unfortunately, Manifest is unable to provide support to those seeking assistance with travel costs.

Do you offer discounted tickets?

Yes! Students receive a significant discount and Manifold power users are eligible for 10% off. You can apply to volunteer for further discounts or attendee for free for a few hours on Friday (see career fair details below).

What food is included?

Small breakfast items, catered lunch & dinner, and snacks throughout the day are provided. The Manifest community is ~30% vegan/vegetarian, so we prioritise a mixture of meat, vegetarian, and vegan options. There will also be some gluten free options.

Festival Season

Fri, May 30
Sat, May 31
LessOnline
Sun, Jun 1
Mon, Jun 2
Tue, Jun 3
Wed, Jun 4
Summer
Camp
Thu, Jun 5
Fri, Jun 6
Sat, Jun 7
Sun, Jun 8
Manifest

Manifest is hosting a career fair on Friday 6th, at the intersection of Summer Camp and Manifest. Lighthaven will open part of its venue for a few hours to allow students and job seekers free entry. This is a great opportunity to mingle with attendees and talk to our sponsors looking to hire.

Register Career Fair Interest

On the weekend prior to Manifest, the Lightcone team is running LessOnline, an unconference centered around rationalist bloggers and their ideas, the weekend prior.

Finally, a mysterious organization called Arbor has stepped forward to run an experimental summer camp from June 2 - 6, between the two conferences. Anyone seeking a peaceful yet vibrant home for the week is warmly welcome. We’re as puzzled by their website as you are, but you can buy early-bird tickets anyway (alone or in a discount package with Manifest tickets).

2024 Guests

This year's speaker list coming soon...
Nate Silver
Statistician & writer of Silver Bulletin
Luana Lopes Lara
Cofounder of
Kalshi
Robin Hanson
Economist & professor
Scott Alexander
Psychiatrist & writer of Astral Codex Ten
Niraek Jain-sharma
Head of Data at
Polymarket
Byrne Hobart
Writer of The Diff
Aella
Sex researcher & writer of Knowingless
Dwarkesh Patel
Host of the
Dwarkesh Podcast
Patrick McKenzie
Writer of
Bits About Money
Chris Best
Cofounder & CEO of
Substack
Ben Mann
Cofounder of Anthropic
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Researcher at MIRI
Cate Hall
Executive director
of Astera
Paul Gu
Cofounder of Upstart
John Phillips
Cofounder & CEO of
PredictIt
Allison Duettmann
President & CEO of
the Foresight Institute
Katja Grace
Lead Researcher of AI Impacts
Kelsey Piper
Senior writer for
Future Perfect, Vox
Stephen Grugett
Cofounder of Manifold

Our sponsors

Want to sponsor Manifest? Schedule a call with David or email david@manifest.is.
Take a look at our sponsor prospectus here.
See 2024's sponsors

Our Team

David Chee
Community & Product at Manifold

Contact

For all inquiries, please email David at david@manifest.is.

Want to sponsor Manifest?
Take a look at our sponsor prospectus here!

Want to speak at Manifest? Great news! Manifest is a collaborative festival — keep an eye out for the schedule which will allow guests to add community sessions. If you're interested in giving a main talk, please email David.

Want to stay in the loop on Manifest? Join our Discord, follow us on 𝕏, or join Manifold's newsletter below.