Manifest 2025
Notable Guests
(They told us they're coming - bet on whether they will!)

Nate Silver
Statistician & writer of Silver Bulletin

Scott Alexander
Psychiatrist & writer of Astral Codex Ten

Michael Lewis
Bestselling author of The Big Short & Moneyball

Chris Best
Cofounder & CEO of Substack

Robin Hanson
Economist & professor

Noah Smith
Economist & writer of Noahpinion

Emmett Shear
CEO of Softmax, Cofounder of Twitch

Byrne Hobart
Writer of The Diff

Aella
Sex researcher & writer of Knowingless

Patrick McKenzie
Writer of Bits About Money

Joe Carlsmith
Senior researcher at Open Philanthropy

Allison Duettmann
President & CEO of the Foresight Institute

Stephen Grugett
CEO & Cofounder of Manifold

Roon
OpenAI, online @tszzl

David Shor
Political forecaster, Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research

Laura Deming
Longevity Venture Capitalist
Sponsors
Rave Reviews
"The Manifest conference has been a successful experiment: put enough introverts with common interests into a confined space and they'll spontaneously turn into extroverts." — Byrne Hobart
"For much of my life, I have poured my attention into tough-to-explain solitary pursuits, finding myself often sitting in quiet corners on the fringes of gatherings wondering if they're worth the effort. Not so last weekend." — TracingWoodgrains
"It's hard to describe the vibe at Manifest unless you were there. But it was part Burning Man, part prediction market science fair, part middle school talent show. It was utterly delightful." — Devansh Mehta
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Manifest Night Market
Friday, June 6 · 7–10 PM @ Lighthaven 🌙
Free and open to the community
The Night Market is back for the third year, an open-air evening celebration of all things markets. It’s a chance to meet people, share ideas, see strange gadgets, and wander around in a transcendent twilight. A Very Bay Area World’s Fair and, if you will, an attempt to manifest the futures.
Previous markets included but not limited to:
- Job market: trade your skills for other skills, or find your next gig
- Stuff market: arts, crafts, foods
- Experience market: mini games, fortunes
- Book market: got a book? essay? poem?
- Information market: like a poster session, without the standards
- Black market: naming rights to a baby's middle name, "probiotics", etc. (all goods must still be legal!)
Festival Season
Manifest is part of a week of connected events in the Bay. View the calendar →
Contact the Team

David Chee
Head Organiser
david@manifest.is

Rachel
Lead Organiser
rach@manifest.is

Austin Chen
Advisor
austin@manifest.is
Want to sponsor Manifest 2025? Take a look at our sponsor prospectus.
Join the Discord!