Schedule

The full schedule can be found on Writehaven, our attendees app.

If you have bought a ticket and cannot log in please email rach@manifest.is

Here is a preview of some of the sessions happening on each day:

Friday, June 6

  • Robin Hanson: Can Futarchy fix culture?
  • Taking a deep dive into political forecasting with David Shor, Jesse Richardson, and special guest
  • Night market & career fair
  • A story telling of Kalshi's internal drama & decisions during the 2024 election with Noah Sternig
  • How tech hiring is changing with AI with Sholto Douglas and Ben Cohen

Saturday, June 7

  • Nate Silver & Chris Best fireside chat
  • Startup Pitch competition
  • Market Making at Scale with Ric Best (Susquehanna)
  • Scott Alexander: Forecasting Transformative AI Using The Book Of Revelation
  • Noam Brown: Learning to Reason with LLMs
  • Noahpinion: The mechanism design of deficit spending and interest rates

Sunday, June 8

  • Nate Soares and Emmett Shear Fight About AI
  • Substack Auction with Aella
  • Advanced prediction markets: past, present, future with Robin Hanson, Dave White, Matt Liston, Kelvin Santos
  • Patrick McKenzie
  • Emmett Shear: A History of Predictive Processing from Democritus to Friston