Special Guests

Nate Silver
Statistician & writer of Silver Bulletin
Luana Lopes Lara
Cofounder of
Kalshi
Robin Hanson
Economist & professor
Scott Alexander
Psychiatrist & writer of Astral Codex Ten
Niraek Jain-sharma
Head of Data at
Polymarket
Byrne Hobart
Writer of The Diff
Aella
Sex researcher & writer of Knowingless
Dwarkesh Patel
Host of the
Dwarkesh Podcast
Patrick McKenzie
Writer of
Bits About Money
Chris Best
Cofounder & CEO of
Substack
Ben Mann
Cofounder of Anthropic
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Researcher at MIRI
Cate Hall
Executive director
of Astera
Paul Gu
Cofounder of Upstart
John Phillips
Cofounder & CEO of
PredictIt
Allison Duettmann
President & CEO of
the Foresight Institute
Dan Schwarz
Cofounder & CEO of
FutureSearch
Alex Gajewski
Cofounder & CEO of SF Compute
Katja Grace
Lead Researcher of AI Impacts
Kelsey Piper
Senior writer for
Future Perfect, Vox
Steve Hsu
Physics professor &
host of Manifold Podcast
Agnes Callard
Philosophy professor
Joe Carlsmith
Senior Research Analyst at Open Philanthropy
Daniel Reeves
Cofounder & CEO of Beeminder
Misha Glouberman
Executive coach, author, event runner
Ajeya Cotra
Senior Program Officer
at OpenPhil
Clara Collier
Editor in Chief of
Asterisk
Samo Burja
President of
Bismark Analysis
Stephen Grugett
Cofounder of Manifold
James Grugett
Cofounder of Manifold
And: Javier Prieto, Simone & Malcolm Collins, Jay Baxter, Tracing Woodgrains, Razib Khan, Max Tabarrok, Brian Chau, Gene Smith, Gavriel Kleinwaks, Niko McCarty, Xander Balwit, Jeremiah Johnson, Ozzie Gooen, Danny Halawi, Regan Arntz-Gray, Sarah Constantin, Frank Lantz, Will Jarvis, Stuart Buck, Jonathan Anomaly, Evan Miyazono, Rob Miles, Richard Hanania, Nate Soares, Holly Elmore, Josh Morrison, Deger Turan...

and more!
See last year's speakers